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Nobody knows the odds,but chance of you winning it is very high.

But, that doesn't mean you'll win, so it's not worth it if you quit if you lose.

If the Pokemon is same-leveled, then there is a 50-50 shot at winning. If the Pokemon are different levels, then the higher one has a 60% chance and the lower one has a 40% chance. It's either this way or the same formula applied to speed stats.

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I would not do it. If you win you just gain the same pokemon. And if you lose you lost a high level colored pokemon. :P

Well L4010 sounds like a good deal, but we don't know if he's a good guy or not. Meaning, if I put my highest pokemon out there, a L153 guy (forgot name) and I won against a much higher up person, if I got a message back saying "I really need that pokemon," then I'll give it back to him. It might cost a ten coin delivery fee but I'll get it back.

He might not be as nice. So I'd think that if it's a simple linear equation, then your chance'd be 4010/144+4010 = 96.533%, which is easy to mess up... But I'm sure it's much more complicated. That'd be the minimum chance, unless it's always an even 50/50 regardless of level which I doubt. So I guess, take it if you're feeling lucky or risky. If not, it won't be worth it.

I wouldn't do it I lost a 3k golurk to a level 5.